Polling experts hail ‘great night’ after correctly calling most key US midterm election races

Accuracy of US polling came into sharp focus after Trump outperformed polls in 2016, 2020 and 2024 Political polling experts hailed a “great night” for the industry after surveys accurately foresaw much of the Democratic blue wave that swept across the US in midterm elections. In only a handful of US Senate races, including Texas and New Hampshire, key polls failed to gauge the scale of the Democratic victory over Republicans on Tuesday. Continue reading...

Anna Betts in New York · Thu, Nov 5, 2026, 12:00 AM
US news | The Guardian

Polling experts hail ‘great night’ after correctly calling most key US midterm election races

Accuracy of US polling came into sharp focus after Trump outperformed polls in 2016, 2020 and 2024

Political polling experts hailed a “great night” for the industry after surveys accurately foresaw much of the Democratic blue wave that swept across the US in midterm elections.

In only a handful of US Senate races, including Texas and New Hampshire, key polls failed to gauge the scale of the Democratic victory over Republicans on Tuesday.

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