The Guardian · US news · Original story
‘Abhorrent’: the inside story of the Polymarket gamblers betting millions on war
A Guardian investigation reveals how the prediction market can shape news – and how it rules on ‘the truth’
“Horekunden” was rapidly losing patience.
His frustration was with the Institute for the Study of War, a US thinktank which produces a daily map of the frontline in Ukraine.
Continue reading...
Aisha Down · Sat, Apr 11, 2026, 4:00 AM
US news | The Guardian
A Guardian investigation reveals how the prediction market can shape news – and how it rules on ‘the truth’
“Horekunden” was rapidly losing patience.
His frustration was with the Institute for the Study of War, a US thinktank which produces a daily map of the frontline in Ukraine.
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